The impact on variable and fixed mortgage rates.
Variable rates float and change along with bank prime rates. Bank prime rates are directly impacted by the BoC policy rate. Whenever there's a policy rate change, banks typically follow it (very rarely, a bank may disagree with the change and hold stubbornly, but that definitely won't happen today).
After today's rate drop, your variable rate for your mortgage or HELOC will post lower by 0.25%, and you'll likely see the downgrade as soon as your next mortgage payment.
Fixed mortgage rates have already decreased ahead of this anticipated interest rate stop, though this event may spark additional easing.
Keep in mind that fixed rates are pushed around by the bond yield market (not directly set by the BoC policy rate like variables are), which can react to emerging economic data, especially in times of economic volatility (like now). So you may see fixed rates go up slightly or down during any given week.
The variable-fixed rate spread is inverted. Right now, a 5-year variable rate is higher than most fixed rates. That's not the norm. Typically, a variable rate is lower than most fixed rates and lower than a 5-year fixed rate by a 'normal' spread of 0.25% to 1.0% due to the increased risk for change (this spread increased to 1.5% during the pandemic!).
So, there's more downward movement to come in variable rates than in fixed rates.
How will a lower prime rate affect:
Your home purchase?
Lower mortgage stress test for a variable rate. If you prefer a variable rate, your required stress-test rate — which pretends your contract rate is 2.0% above your contract rate (or a minimum of 5.25%, whichever is greater) to see if you can still afford the payments — will now be 0.25% lower, which could help your affordability numbers in getting mortgage approval.
Lower payments now, renew into lower rates later? We have another option if you're buying a home, depending on your circumstances. Check out the lowest fixed rate in Canada — our Rate Relief™ product which offers a budget break for 6 months. This product could allow more time for rates to decline, and you could renew sooner into lower market rates compared to choosing a longer term.
Your mortgage payments?
- If you have an adjusting payment variable-rate mortgage (ARM), your payments will go down. For example, for a $500K mortgage with an original 25-year amortization, going from a variable rate of 5.99% to 5.74% will save you about $74 per month.
- If you have fixed payments (VRM), your amortization will start to tick down. That's good news if you've been nervously watching your amortization increase during the rate-hike cycle, and are worried about your upcoming renewal.